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Amid uncertainty, the US Fed holds the fort. Don’t breach it

January 13, 2026

In an extraordinary development, the US Department of Justice has served the US Federal Reserve “with grand jury subpoenas, threatening a criminal indictment” in relation to Fed chairman Jerome Powell’s “testimony before the Senate Banking Committee last June”. While the testimony was regarding the renovation of the Fed’s office buildings, Powell has sought to frame the Justice Department’s move purely in political terms that threaten to undermine the central bank’s independence and autonomy. Pledging to continue doing his job, Powell said that these threats are due to the Fed setting interest rates on the basis of its own assessment, “rather than following the preferences of the President”. Unfortunately, this confrontation between the central bank and the executive branch isn’t a one-off.

In his second term, US President Donald Trump has been extremely critical of the Federal Reserve and its chairman. Last year, Trump had posted on X that “Jay Powell and the Fed failed to stop the problem they created with inflation”. In another instance, Trump, who has also tried to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook, had said, “We have a stupid person at the Fed. He probably won’t cut today. Europe had 10 cuts, and we had none. I guess he’s a political guy.” Markets were quick to react to the latest attack on the Fed — the US dollar fell in early trading — underlining concerns over attacks on the central bank. Some reports suggest that a “sell America” sentiment is gaining traction — political interference in the Fed’s work will only undermine investor confidence.

In this age of uncertainty, there is strong logic in ensuring the independence of institutions such as central banks. The political class, driven more by short-term imperatives, will tend to veer towards looser monetary policy to push up growth, sidestepping concerns over inflation. In contrast, central banks, which are not in a “popularity contest”, can take uncomfortable decisions. The challenge the world over is to ensure that monetary policy does not become subject to the whims and fancies of political leaders. Independence of central banks is a much-valued asset.

Overall Analysis

This editorial strongly defends the independence of the US Federal Reserve amid rising political pressure and institutional confrontation. It opens with an alarming development — the US Department of Justice issuing grand jury subpoenas related to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony — to immediately establish a sense of institutional crisis. By calling it “extraordinary,” the author signals that this is not routine political friction but a serious challenge to democratic norms.

The editorial frames Powell’s response as principled rather than defensive. By quoting his assertion that interest-rate decisions are based on economic assessment rather than presidential preference, the author underscores the essential idea that central banks must function autonomously. The language here is measured but cautionary, suggesting that repeated political attacks risk eroding the credibility of monetary institutions.

The second paragraph widens the lens, portraying former President Donald Trump’s sustained criticism of the Fed as part of a broader pattern rather than an isolated episode. The use of Trump’s own inflammatory remarks sharpens the editorial’s critical edge, while references to market reactions — such as the fall of the dollar and emerging “sell America” sentiment — connect political interference directly to economic consequences. This cause-and-effect framing strengthens the argument by grounding institutional concerns in real financial outcomes.

In the final paragraph, the editorial adopts a reflective and normative tone, explaining why central bank independence matters, especially in uncertain times. The contrast between short-term political incentives and long-term economic stability is clearly drawn. The author argues that while elected leaders chase growth and popularity, central banks are designed to make tough, sometimes unpopular decisions to control inflation and ensure stability. The concluding lines elevate central bank independence as a “much-valued asset,” reinforcing the idea that breaching it would be economically reckless and democratically damaging.

Overall, the editorial blends institutional analysis, political critique, and economic reasoning, using calm but firm language to warn against undermining the autonomy of monetary authorities.

Important Vocabulary (5)

  1. Indictment – a formal charge accusing someone of a serious crime.
  2. Autonomy – the right or condition of self-governance and independence.
  3. Undermine – to weaken or damage something gradually.
  4. Imperatives – urgent needs or priorities that must be addressed.
  5. Whims and fancies – sudden or irrational desires or decisions.

Conclusion & Tone

The editorial argues that political interference in the Federal Reserve threatens economic stability, investor confidence, and democratic institutional balance. It calls for restraint and respect for institutional boundaries, especially in uncertain global conditions.

Tone: Cautionary, analytical, and firmly institutionalist.

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